Sub Prime Mortgages
Sub
prime mortgages suddenly became a major
issue. It looked as though the financial system might collapse. This
would cause a lot of pain. We saw a lot written and lot of nonsense.
Special pleading was going on. Various directors were talking to the
government asking them to bail them out with tax payers' money.
We know that financial outfits are
regulated by the Financial Services
Authority [ aka the Fundamentally Supine Authority ], a very large
government outfit with power. What was it doing
when companies were pushing dodgy loans to people who should never have
had them? Not a lot is the answer. Were they incompetent, idle,
indifferent or corrupt? The answer to the last point will be revealed
when various highly paid civil servants walk away with their golden
handshakes and come in for their golden hellos from the firms they were
allegedly regulating.
Private Eye, which is the nearest thing to
honest journalism in England
explained it at Subprime
made simple. Here is their update which demonstrates gross
incompetence at best. It is fair to say that a man on a mere £408,000 a
year,
including a £65,000 bonus might not feel obligated to do much
in the way of work. Notice that the little people who told fibs find
themselves charged with fraud while the big men walk away laughing.
FUNDAMENTALLY Supine
Authority insiders insist there was little
interest in policing the booming "sub-prime" mortgage business which
the FSA had taken over in 2004 until problems started to appear in
2006.
Then, last
autumn, the FSA discovered that it had concerns about
mis-selling by mortgage brokers and poor lending practices by the major
providers. This followed a survey of the 11 lenders who controlled more
than half the "sub-prime" market. Some of these had not been inspected
by the FSA until 2007.
What the Bank
of England describes as "other specialist lenders" - as
distinct from banks, former building societies like Northern Wreck and
the fuddy-duddy mutuals such as Nationwide they had left behind - saw
their share of mortgage lending overtake that of building societies.
Their market share doubled to around 15 percent in the 10 years to
2006. Much of that business was increasingly coming from "subprime"
borrowers riding the housing bubble, plus "buy-to-let" investors. This
is the home of the neutron loan - it removes the borrower but leaves
the home standing and available for repossession and resale.
One of the
biggest and fastest-growing players in the booming
"sub-prime" market - along with GE Money Home Lending (Eye 1188) - has
been GMAC-RFC, the UK subsidiary of the giant auto finance business
originally built by Detroit car makers General Motors. At the end of
2006, control of GMAC was bought by a consortium led by private equity
group Cerberus, which was briefly interested in buying Northern Wreck
last year.
GMAC, like GE
and other American-owned lenders, introduced to Britain
the aggressive 0some prefer predatory - lending techniques that created
the US sub-prime crisis whereby cities such as Cleveland and states
such as California and Florida are seeing unprecedented waves of home
repossessions among those who were only ever bad risks.
GMAC has seen
its UK business accelerate in recent years, increasing
its market share every year from 1999 to 2006 on the way to becoming
the 10th biggest mortgage lender. In 2006 its loans grew by 75 percent
to just over £12bn. Like Northern Wreck, GMAC relied on the
money markets and securitising mortgages to fund this explosive growth.
One of its big customers was Bradford & Bingley, which now has
its own problems due to its appetite for "sub-prime" business and the
wholesale money market.
GMAC's motto
was "Mortgages for everyone in a fast, easy automated
process". That process was designed in some cases to take just 25
minutes! All of which generated profits in 2006 of £ 11 Om -
down on 2005 due in part to selling off chunks of the loan
book.
Using a network
of brokers highly incentivised by commission, GMAC is
well represented among what are known as "medium to heavy adverse"
customers - in other words, those who would find it difficult to borrow
from High Street banks and building societies at the best of times,
never mind now.
During 2006,
the FSA carried out a wide ranging "ARROW" risk-assessment
inspection of GMAC. Unlike at Northern Wreck, with whom it found no
problems, the FSA inspection of GMAC highlighted several matters which
insiders say caused concern - in particular, insufficient verification
of borrowers' incomes. The GMAC model relied more on credit scores and
historic propensity to pay, plus a loan-to-value margin of 10-15
percent. Full status income verification was estimated to take place in
less than 10 percent of all loans. Lenders have a duty to ensure
affordability under FSA rules.
The inspection
also discovered that, as with many similar US lenders
such as leading US "subprime" pump feeder Countrywide Financial,
customers were "cascaded down" to more expensive "sub-prime" terms, but
they were rarely "cascaded up". As a result, GMAC borrowers who might
have justified better, near prime terms were being offered, via their
brokers, more expensive "sub-prime" loans. Such loans generate much
bigger interest and fees for brokers and lenders.
A subsequent
general market survey suggested that at least 5 percent of
all "sub-prime" borrowers could be the victims of such treatment. This
is clearly in breach of the FSA's "Treating Customers Fairly"
policy.
Those with
knowledge of the ARROW inspection at GMAC say there was
discussion of its lending procedures, including the reliance on
self certification and whether the terms on offer were made clear
enough to customers. GMAC insisted its credit controls were adequate
and that it was not treating clients unfairly. The software used by
brokers, it claimed, could only "cascade down"! It agreed to make this
clear to brokers.
The FSA
subsequently issued a risk mitigation programme (RMP) to GMAC -
the norm where there are concerns. An RMP sets out the issues
identified by the ARROW, the outcomes sought by the FSA, the action to
be taken and the timescale for compliance. Some involved in the process
believed that the FSA was too soft in its approach, given the evidence.
The FSA accepted GMAC's assurances of improvements and took no further
action. But all this was before "sub-prime" became a dirty word for
financial regulators.
Subsequently,
last year, two case studies justified the concern
expressed by some inside the FSA. Carer Sandra Ashcroft was charged
with obtaining money by deception by mis-stating her income on mortgage
applications to GMAC and "sub-prime" rival Southern Pacific Mortgages,
owned by Wall Street investment bankers Lehman Brothers. Ashcroft
claimed to be a senior nurse with a good salary and
was loaned £120,000 earning only £6,000 a year.
Evidence was given that she had been encouraged to provide
misinformation
by her mortgage advisers. Hi counsel told Manchester crown court: "Very
questions are asked and the price is higher fees and higher interest
rates."
Ashcroft was given a suspended sentence last August because the j
found: "You appear to have been steered tow, giving misleading
information."
In January
2007, retired sailor Ismail Ali was made homeless when his
east London ex council flat was repossessed. He had obtained
£75,000 mortgage from GMAC in 2004, despite income of only
£517 a month. His mortgage { £430 a month. It was
claimed he earned £24,0 year as a bookkeeper. Ali blamed his
brokers J the misinformation.
"Sub-prime"
lenders such as GMAC represent a greatly disproportionate
share
of repossession according to a 2007 study by Citizens Advice; other
research. As the numbers of repossessions rise this year, that share is
set to increase.
In both the
Ashcroft and Ali cases, GMAC denied any complicity or
wrongdoing, insisting acted in good faith. A GMAC spokeswoman confirmed
that the FSA had issued the RMP. " is normal practice by the FSA
following an ARROW visit and is nothing unique to GMAC," she said
"GMAC-RFC is not at liberty to disclose the contents of the RMP.
Nothing contained in the RMP required material change in the way
GMAC-RFC operates. All actions were implemented to the satisfaction of
the FSA wit the required time-frames."
But the
evidence of the flaws in GMAC's approach to its customers'
ability to repay has grown in recent months, especially in the US. Last
November, the ultimate parent company, GMAC Financial Services,
disclosed that it ha; lost $1.8bn at its home lending arm, Residential
Capital, by the end of September. In February, GMAC disclosed that
ResCap, which owns GMAC-RFC, had lost $4.35bn in 2007. The rating
agencies have cut their rating on both GMAC and ResCap bonds to junk
status.
In Britain,
GMAC-RFC has cut staff, curbed lending and is now looking
for much higher loan to-value margins. Mortgage applications are said
be down from 700 a day a year ago to sometime; just 10! It will be
interesting to see whether the FSA response will be the same come the
next ARROW visit.
CLEARLY FSA
chief executive Hector Sants. like soon-to-be-gone retail
markets division managing director Clive Briault, had no idea how
little regulation there had been of Northern Wreck when quizzed by MPs
on the Treasury select committee last October.
How else to
explain Sants assuring sceptical MPs that the bank had been
"under close and continuous supervision"? The FSA told the committee
there had been "very regular dialogue with the firm on the full range
of supervisory issues".
The FSA
internal report summary last week revealed that there had been
only eight meetings with the bank in total between February 2006 and
August 2007, of which five were on one day in April 2007 and two were
by telephone!
The report
seeks to lay the blame firmly on the "manager and lead
associate" supervisors in the major retail groups division who had been
consistently involved with Northern Wreck from 2004. There were three
heads of department in that period. But two key decisions in the
failure to supervise Northern Wreck were taken much higher up the FSA
food chain.
The damning FSA
report - the full report seemingly needs a further
month to be sanitised of names and supposedly sensitive commercial
data before it is published - indicated that neither Briault nor David
Strachan - head of major retail groups - showed sufficient if any
interest in Northern Wreck despite its unique business model being so
reliant on the wholesale money markets and general confidence.
The remarkable
decisions in February 2006 to.........
a/bIIi-
~~ -::-;::-,:,,;: ffiree years before it would be ~ :.:: ;::'2mer
--\.RROW inspection ØagaM ~ 1C-'~2'" of the manager and
associate wOO =-J;;"':':.~-: the inspection, who wanted only two :-= -
.:.::d not to issue any risk mitigation progr='-';o because the bank
was considered 4ov,--probability" for risk were approved by an FSA
internal ARROW panel. These usually consist of not just the two
immediate s~pervisors and the head of department but also the relevant
director - in this case Strachan - who is either present or consulted.
No wonder the internal report criticised the "level of engagement and
oversight by supervisory line management" and failings "at the level of
director and above". But it seems only Briault will walk the Canary
Wharf plank. Strachan is still on board, even if it is suggested his
role is now more directed to "financial stability" - a role he already
had.
Luckily, all FSA executive directors are entitled to up to 12 months'
"total remuneration" in the event of early termination. For Briault
last year,
. that meant £408,000, including a £65,000 bonus.
He also had a pension with a transfer value of £872,000 a
year ago, which will probably be worth nearer £1 million when
he
leaves later this month.
FSA insiders reject the internal report's alibi that Northern Wreck was
a regulatory aberration. The regulatory failures exposed by its near
collapse were, they say, "entirely representative - this is the culture
of FSA supervision". Northern Wreck was clearly high-risk. But the
"highly dysfunctional culture" within the FSA meant it escaped action
until it was too late.
As for Sants' "close and continuous" monitoring, this was described as
meaning "undue reliance" on and accepting information from the
regulated. Supervision was seen as a dumping ground for poor managers
with resulting poor motivation among supervisors who were either
"inexperienced or time-servers".
Hopefully the MPs - who decided without the benefit of the FSA internal
report that the regulator had "systematically failed" - will give Sants
a harder time when he returns for a second grilling next month.
RICHARD WHO? That was the underwhelming reaction to news that the new
man at the head of the Serious Farce Office will be Richard Alderman,
the lawyer in charge of Revenue & Customs' civil
investigations.
"Nobody has ever heard of him," declared one source in regular contact
with the SFO. Alderman, 55, was clearly seen by the Attorney-General
Baroness Scotland, herself no criminal law expert, as the proverbial
"safe pair of hands" so beloved by Whitehall and Westminster. This may
well have swung the decision in Alderman's favour against the other,
more imaginative names on the short list, discussed in Eye 1203, which
also included a QC and one or more top white-collar crime lawyers. As a
civil servant, he was also more quickly available.
No doubt Alderman, who replaces Robert Wardle later this month, has
signed up for the reforms expected to be required from the De Grazia
report and can be relied upon if, after that, the SFO is to be rolled
into the Serious Organised Crime Agency during his four-year tenure. A
previous Alderman gig involved setting up the short-lived Asset
Recovery Agency, which has since been subsumed into SOCA. But whether
such a low-profile figure will be the man to deal with the kind of
high-profile problems regularly faced by the SFO director - or the man
to stand up to the government as Wardle did initially over BAE -
remains to be seen.